20x the cost means you need to have fable to be 20x better than the alternative, which is a tall order. And there's more options out there too, perhaps the 4x cost is enough.
This means if the deepseek / under 1k alternative is at least x1.2 improvement, fable needs to be x24, which I think is very2 unreasonable. It is possible for it to worth if it can x2 a $20k SWE, though I doubt it can do that.
If they (AI) able to compete with even 30% of workforce, that alone is a big enough leverage over the already powerful companies. At minimum it will cause another phase of wealth inequality, which is already a big problem atm.
Open model with affortable computing power can be the alternative, but we don't see it soon.
Musk supported the pretense of free speech online when he bought the bird website. Again, it's just letting them see the marketing benefit, not convincing them to actually care (assuming that's impossible)
As always, I think this happen more to vibe coder. They don't understand that bigger project means worse AI performance. On top of that Opus felt being nerfed at understanding prompt so if your spec is bad you won't get good result.
Oh Opus is nerfed sure, but not that hard. Early this year opus 4.6 can understand your prompt and your intention easily, it got worse around mid April. Opus 4.7 even worse than that.
However that's just it, you just need to improve and make clearer of your prompt and it will perform just as good.
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