In addition to this article, I've seen well thought out assertions from knowledgeable people that Hormuz is far worse than the market thinks and the market just continues not caring.
Maybe they're both right? Horrible things can happen to oil importing economies without derailing the AI build out that's driving the US economy and stock prices.
I think there's a catch-22 where Trump will hold out as long as the market lets him and everyone in the market wants to look through him throwing in the towel.
The professions with the least negotiating power will have the most draconian "oversight". Imagine a cashier graded in real time on how many customers they smile at. Or tracking how many glasses in a restaurant are empty.
Maybe this is me being a little wet behind the ears, but I don't know if lifestyle businesses are really possible to start at the moment, given the uncertainty of the current software sector.
The economics of software creation is changing, so it stands to reason how people engage with software will change too. Finding a niche may be a game of luck more than observation/perspiration at this stage, similar to discovering oil on your "barren" property rather than building a farm. As someone who's generally independent, though: I'd love to be wrong here!
Your accountant will be configuring their own work software.
Your project manager will be developing their own work software.
Custodians will not necessarily be developing work software.
Most non-tech desk-staff start to lose focus after the fifth reply on a social media thread…
I do not believe they’re going to be able to perform the three required steps for building software solutions:
1. Know what you need (vs want).
2. Know how to ask for it.
3. Have a process for validating it.
I also don’t think it gets too much simpler than Docker et al for self-hosting, yet those concepts are genuinely a foreign language to even “tech-savvy” consumers.
I think we’re in a bubble, here,
and I am personally betting on one niche (of many) where value ($$$$) is still placed upon having another team to outsource responsibility to.
Responsibility for keeping an important tool up-to-date, keeping it able to capture data,
and most importantly: rigorously tested to ensure it’ll perform calculations correctly.
Responsibility for peak tooling, so a busy end-user can stay responsible for their craft without taking a sabbatical to build software is not going anywhere.
Whether these “peak tools” will be (validated, packaged, delivered to the user, maintained) by me,
This seems like the kind of thing that the right kind of engineer could turn into a lifestyle business. Two mobile apps, two or three browser extensions, a server, and a marketing website. A lot of care for the core security decisions and a bunch of CRUD UIs.
I know I'm being "that guy" so tell me where this gets more complex than I think.
Maybe they're both right? Horrible things can happen to oil importing economies without derailing the AI build out that's driving the US economy and stock prices.
I think there's a catch-22 where Trump will hold out as long as the market lets him and everyone in the market wants to look through him throwing in the towel.
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