This is so speculative. I think the first step in determining why some people believe they are much more competent than they really are would be to interview them on how they came to believe it.
I think the fact that the author thinks this is unnecessary and that he can determine the cause of this phenomenon without this sort of empirical research indicates he believes he is better at understanding how one goes about determining human psychology than he really is.
Yes, that's another issue - CS/IT seems to be unique that sharing knowledge and openly discussing problems is the norm, in other professions you can get finger wagging and some general "advice"
I agree. And modern Western science and political thought has followed Aristotle far more than Plato. In particular, the parts of Aristotle's science that got thrown out was the result of following out his empirical method further than he was able to. We have also followed his empirical approach to political philosophy rather than Plato's Republic.
The problem started because Azure was initially designed and released in a huge rush because Microsoft was so far behind AWS and needed something better.
I am reminded of the research finding that every human-designed complex system that works well started with a simple system that did did just one thing well, and new functions were added one at a time, with each one perfected before moving on to another. Which is the exact opposite of what happened here.
Remember, Microsoft's goal is to turn Windows into an AI agent that keeps all your data in the cloud, that it can use that data for endless money-making purposes like advertising, and that you pay for with a dozen different subscriptions.
Microsoft will continue to move in that direction in various overt and covert manners, and any so-called responding to what users wants is just a charade.
I have read that Musk has given up the car industry, except for cybertaxis, because he think Tesla could never compete on price with the Chinese manufacturers.
The struggle to "compete with China" on price is not new. Tesla's failings have everything to do with it's failures in execution, quality and brand image. Apple does quite well in China.
The basic problem is that human hands are made of flesh, while robot hands are made of artificial materials like steel and carbon fiber composites. Flesh is a million times more complex, starting at the molecular level, and so it can do all sorts of things that artificial materials cannot.
Compare for instance a jetliner and a bird. The jetliner can fly fast and carry a lot of cargo or human beings. The bird is a lot smaller and slower, but it can do all sorts of things a jetliner cannot. This includes growing itself from a single fertilized egg, self-repair, defense against attacks of various types, finding and getting food, building its own shelter, and reproduction. All because it is made of biological cells. And note that for a jetliner, the similar tasks are carried out by human beings also made of biological cells.
I think a similar analysis explains why artificial general intelligence is impossible.
I think the fact that the author thinks this is unnecessary and that he can determine the cause of this phenomenon without this sort of empirical research indicates he believes he is better at understanding how one goes about determining human psychology than he really is.
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